Analysis Silo

Quantitative Football Modeling & League Data Analysis

Deep mathematical studies exploring how Shin de-vigging, Dixon-Coles 10x10 scoreline grids, and league-wide tactical tempo shifts uncover persistent inefficiencies in European football markets.

Football quantitative analyst viewing geometric pitch models overlooking a stadium field

Analysis

European Top Flights•13 Nov 2026•6 min read

2026/27 Goal Surge Study - Why Serie A (3.01 GPG) & LaLiga (3.02 GPG) Flipped the Over 2.5 Market

Our 14,807-match quantitative study across 22 leagues reveals a +9.4% global surge in scoring to 3.03 GPG - and why outdated defensive reputations create massive +EV opportunities.

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Football data workstation displaying emerald analytics curves overlooking stadium turf

Analysis

Quantitative Research•14 Nov 2026•7 min read

How Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson & Shin De-Vigging Beat Bookmaker Margins in Football

Inside the mathematics of BetLysts Quant Engine v6.0: how solving Shin's overround bias and building a correlated 10x10 scoreline probability matrix price 1X2, DNB, Totals, and BTTS simultaneously.

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