Verified Model Audit (2026-W46) - 61.1% Win Rate & +0.38u Net Profit
Audited 2026-W46 Quant v6.0 ledger: 122 settled picks, 61.1% win rate, +0.4% ROI, and recent final-score settlement breakdown.
- Argon/Quant Epoch Total: 122 settled picks | 61.1% Win Rate | +0.38u Profit | +0.4% ROI.
- Latest 12-match sample: 7W - 4L - 1V (63.6% decided accuracy @ 1.52 avg odds).
- 100% transparent settlement: all scores, markets, and odds are synced directly from PostgreSQL.
- Zero cherry-picking: voided T-50m cancellations and losses remain permanently visible in the public audit trail.
Quantitative Data & League Telemetry Breakdown
| Match & Final Score | Competition | Settled Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs Greece (7-0) | UEFA Nations League | Netherlands to Win @ 1.52 | WIN (+0.52u) |
| Moldova vs Kazakhstan (2-1) | UEFA Nations League | Draw No Bet: Moldova @ 1.56 | WIN (+0.56u) |
| Czech Republic vs Spain (0-2) | UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.49 | LOSS (-1.00u) |
| Turkey vs Belgium (1-2) | UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 | WIN (+0.50u) |
| Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga (1-0) | Eliteserien | Draw No Bet: Vålerenga @ 1.61 | VOID (0.00u) |
| Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem (4-1) | Jupiler Pro League | Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.54 | WIN (+0.54u) |
| Vitoria Guimarães vs FC Porto (1-2) | Primeira Liga | FC Porto to Win @ 1.54 | WIN (+0.54u) |
| Brest vs Lyon (2-0) | Ligue 1 | Double Chance (1X: Brest or Draw) @ 1.53 | WIN (+0.53u) |
Quant v6.0 Epoch Audit - Every Settled Signal Counted
Updated on 14 Nov 2026 for reporting cycle 2026-W46, the BetLysts Quant v6.0 PostgreSQL ledger records 122 settled signals at a 61.1% win rate, producing +0.4% ROI and +0.38 flat staked units. No losing pick is ever edited, archived out of denominator calculations, or excluded from public inspection.
Across the latest 12 settled positions highlighted below, the model achieved 7 wins, 4 losses, and 1 T-50m voids (63.6% decided win rate at an average decimal price of 1.52, net -0.28u).
How T-50m Voids & 1.40 - 1.70 Drawdown Control Protected Bankrolls
Notice in the verified ledger below that settled results classify genuine wins, losses, and protected 0.00u voids side by side. When late team news at T-50 minutes strips a qualifying fixture of key goal-creating starters or collapses bookmaker value below our minimum floor, cancelling before kickoff prevents avoidable -1.00u drawdowns.
Operating primarily within the 1.40 - 1.70 odds corridor keeps losing streaks shallow enough that flat 1-unit bankroll sizing compounds smoothly week over week without needing martingale recovery staking.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is BetLysts' verified win rate and ROI as of 14 Nov 2026?
As of 14 Nov 2026, the active Quant v6.0 epoch holds a 61.1% win rate, +0.4% ROI, and +0.38u net profit across 122 settled picks.
Are losing picks or voided bets ever removed from the audit report?
No. Every published prediction transitions immutably into win, loss (-1.00u), or T-50m void (0.00u) in PostgreSQL and counts toward the public ledger.
All BetLysts briefings pair Dixon-Coles 10x10 Bivariate Poisson scoreline grids, Shin three-way de-vigging, and live 2026/27 Team Goal DNA trends against automated PostgreSQL settlement ledgers (122 settled signals tracked at 61.1% win rate and +0.4% ROI). Pending positions undergo T-50m Starting XI verification prior to kickoff.
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